Long Memory Realized Volatility And Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models
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Long Memory, Realized Volatility and Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models
The presence of long memory in realized volatility () is a widespread stylized fact. The origins of long memory in have been attributed to jumps, structural breaks, contemporaneous aggregation, nonlinearities, or pure long memory. An important development has been the heterogeneous autoregressive () model and its extensions. This article assesses the separate roles of fractionally integrated long memory models, extended models and time varying parameter models. We find that the presence of the long memory parameter is often important in addition to the models.
Proceedings of the Fourteenth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management
This book gathers the proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM 2020). Held at the Academy of Studies of Moldova from July 30 to August 2, 2020, the conference provided a platform for researchers and practitioners in the field to share their ideas and experiences. Covering a wide range of topics, including hot management issues in engineering science, the book presents novel ideas and the latest research advances in the area of management science and engineering management. It includes both theoretical and practical studies of management science applied in computing methodology, highlighting advanced management concepts, and computing technologies for decision-making problems involving large, uncertain and unstructured data. The book also describes the changes and challenges relating to decision-making procedures at the dawn of the big data era, and discusses new technologies for analysis, capture, search, sharing, storage, transfer and visualization, and in the context of privacy violations, as well as advances in the integration of optimization, statistics and data mining. Given its scope, it will appeal to a wide readership, particularly those looking for new ideas and research directions.
Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models
This treatise delves into the latest advancements in stochastic volatility models, highlighting the utilization of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for estimating model parameters and forecasting the volatility and quantiles of financial asset returns. The modeling of financial time series volatility constitutes a crucial aspect of finance, as it plays a vital role in predicting return distributions and managing risks. Among the various econometric models available, the stochastic volatility model has been a popular choice, particularly in comparison to other models, such as GARCH models, as it has demonstrated superior performance in previous empirical studies in terms of fit, forecasting volatility, and evaluating tail risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. The book also explores an extension of the basic stochastic volatility model, incorporating a skewed return error distribution and a realized volatility measurement equation. The concept of realized volatility, a newly established estimator of volatility using intraday returns data, is introduced, and a comprehensive description of the resulting realized stochastic volatility model is provided. The text contains a thorough explanation of several efficient sampling algorithms for latent log volatilities, as well as an illustration of parameter estimation and volatility prediction through empirical studies utilizing various asset return data, including the yen/US dollar exchange rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nikkei 225 stock index. This publication is highly recommended for readers with an interest in the latest developments in stochastic volatility models and realized stochastic volatility models, particularly in regards to financial risk management.