Travel Time Estimation From Loop Detector Data For Advanced Traveler Information Systems Applications

Travel Time Estimation from Loop Detector Data for Advanced Traveler Information Systems Applications

Highway Travel Time Estimation With Data Fusion

This monograph presents a simple, innovative approach for the measurement and short-term prediction of highway travel times based on the fusion of inductive loop detector and toll ticket data. The methodology is generic and not technologically captive, allowing it to be easily generalized for other equivalent types of data. The book shows how Bayesian analysis can be used to obtain fused estimates that are more reliable than the original inputs, overcoming some of the drawbacks of travel-time estimations based on unique data sources. The developed methodology adds value and obtains the maximum (in terms of travel time estimation) from the available data, without recurrent and costly requirements for additional data. The application of the algorithms to empirical testing in the AP-7 toll highway in Barcelona proves that it is possible to develop an accurate real-time, travel-time information system on closed-toll highways with the existing surveillance equipment, suggesting that highway operators might provide their customers with such an added value with little additional investment in technology.

Estimation and Prediction of Travel Time from Loop Detector Data for Intelligent Transportation Systems Applications

With the advent of Advanced Traveler Information Systems (ATIS), short-term travel time prediction is becoming increasingly important. Travel time can be obtained directly from instrumented test vehicles, license plate matching, probe vehicles etc., or from indirect methods such as loop detectors. Because of their wide spread deployment, travel time estimation from loop detector data is on of the most widely used methods. However, the major criticism about loop detector data is the high probability of error due to the prevalence of equipment malfunctions. This dissertation presents methodologies for estimating and predicting travel time from the loop detector data after correcting for errors. The methodology is a multi-stage process, and includes the correction of data, estimation of travel time and predictions of travel time, and each stage involves the judicious use of suitable techniques. The various techniques selected for each of the stages are detailed below. The test sites are from the freeways in San Antonio, Texas, which are equipped with dual inductance loop detectors and AVI. Constrained non-linear optimization approach by Generalized Reduced Gradient (GRG) method for data reduction and quality control, which included a check for the accuracy of data from a series of detectors for conservation of vehicles, in addition to the commonly adopted checks. A theoretical model based on traffic flow theory for travel time estimation for both off-peak and peak traffic conditions using flow, occupancy and speed values obtained from detectors. Application of a recently developed technique called Support Vector Machines (SVM) for travel time prediction. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method is also developed for comparison. Thus, a complete system for the estimation and prediction of travel time from loop detector dats is detailed in this dissertation. Simulated data from CORSIM simulation software is used for the validation of the results.