The Limits Of Inference Without Theory
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The Limits of Inference without Theory
The role of theory in ex ante policy evaluations and the limits that eschewing theory places on inference In this rigorous and well-crafted work, Kenneth Wolpin examines the role of theory in inferential empirical work in economics and the social sciences in general—that is, any research that uses raw data to go beyond the mere statement of fact or the tabulation of statistics. He considers in particular the limits that eschewing the use of theory places on inference. Wolpin finds that the absence of theory in inferential work that addresses microeconomic issues is pervasive. That theory is unnecessary for inference is exemplified by the expression “let the data speak for themselves.” This approach is often called “reduced form.” A more nuanced view is based on the use of experiments or quasi-experiments to draw inferences. Atheoretical approaches stand in contrast to what is known as the structuralist approach, which requires that a researcher specify an explicit model of economic behavior—that is, a theory. Wolpin offers a rigorous examination of both structuralist and nonstructuralist approaches. He first considers ex ante policy evaluation, highlighting the role of theory in the implementation of parametric and nonparametric estimation strategies. He illustrates these strategies with two examples, a wage tax and a school attendance subsidy, and summarizes the results from applications. He then presents a number of examples that illustrate the limits of inference without theory: the effect of unemployment benefits on unemployment duration; the effect of public welfare on women's labor market and demographic outcomes; the effect of school attainment on earnings; and a famous field experiment in education dealing with class size. Placing each example within the context of the broader literature, he contrasts them to recent work that relies on theory for inference.
The Limits of Inference without Theory
The role of theory in ex ante policy evaluations and the limits that eschewing theory places on inference In this rigorous and well-crafted work, Kenneth Wolpin examines the role of theory in inferential empirical work in economics and the social sciences in general—that is, any research that uses raw data to go beyond the mere statement of fact or the tabulation of statistics. He considers in particular the limits that eschewing the use of theory places on inference. Wolpin finds that the absence of theory in inferential work that addresses microeconomic issues is pervasive. That theory is unnecessary for inference is exemplified by the expression “let the data speak for themselves.” This approach is often called “reduced form.” A more nuanced view is based on the use of experiments or quasi-experiments to draw inferences. Atheoretical approaches stand in contrast to what is known as the structuralist approach, which requires that a researcher specify an explicit model of economic behavior—that is, a theory. Wolpin offers a rigorous examination of both structuralist and nonstructuralist approaches. He first considers ex ante policy evaluation, highlighting the role of theory in the implementation of parametric and nonparametric estimation strategies. He illustrates these strategies with two examples, a wage tax and a school attendance subsidy, and summarizes the results from applications. He then presents a number of examples that illustrate the limits of inference without theory: the effect of unemployment benefits on unemployment duration; the effect of public welfare on women's labor market and demographic outcomes; the effect of school attainment on earnings; and a famous field experiment in education dealing with class size. Placing each example within the context of the broader literature, he contrasts them to recent work that relies on theory for inference.
Computational Economics
Author: Fouad Sabry
language: en
Publisher: One Billion Knowledgeable
Release Date: 2023-12-23
What is Computational Economics Computer science, economics, and management science are all branches of study that are included in the field of computational economics, which is an interdisciplinary research field. This topic includes the modeling of economic processes through the use of computer methods. There are some of these fields that are not found anywhere else, while others have established themselves as areas of economics by enabling robust data analytics and solutions to problems that would be difficult to investigate without the use of computers and the numerical methods that are connected with them. How you will benefit (I) Insights, and validations about the following topics: Chapter 1: Computational economics Chapter 2: Econometrics Chapter 3: Experimental economics Chapter 4: Representative agent Chapter 5: Macroeconomic model Chapter 6: Formal epistemology Chapter 7: Evolutionary economics Chapter 8: Economics education Chapter 9: Agent-based computational economics Chapter 10: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium Chapter 11: Microfoundations Chapter 12: Adaptive Modeler Chapter 13: Mathematical economics Chapter 14: Methodology of econometrics Chapter 15: ACEGES Chapter 16: Anil K. Bera Chapter 17: Heterogeneity in economics Chapter 18: Criticisms of econometrics Chapter 19: Causal inference Chapter 20: Michael Keane (economist) Chapter 21: John Rust (II) Answering the public top questions about computational economics. (III) Real world examples for the usage of computational economics in many fields. (IV) Rich glossary featuring over 1200 terms to unlock a comprehensive understanding of computational economics. (eBook only). Who will benefit Professionals, undergraduate and graduate students, enthusiasts, hobbyists, and those who want to go beyond basic knowledge or information for any kind of computational economics.