The Art Of Conjecturing Together With Letter To A Friend On Sets In Court Tennis
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The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis
"Part I reprints and reworks Huygens's On Reckoning in Games of Chance. Part II offers a thorough treatment of the mathematics of combinations and permutations, including the numbers since known as "Bernoulli numbers." In Part III, Bernoulli solves more complicated problems of games of chance using that mathematics. In the final part, Bernoulli's crowning achievement in mathematical probability becomes manifest he applies the mathematics of games of chance to the problems of epistemic probability in civil, moral, and economic matters, proving what we now know as the weak law of large numbers."
Willful Ignorance
Author: Herbert I. Weisberg
language: en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date: 2014-08-04
An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers.
Quantitative Methods in Comparative Law
Author: Pier G. Monateri
language: en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date: 2023-11-03
This invaluable and timely book provides a comprehensive “Conflict Prevention and Friction Analysis (CPFA) Model” for researching comparative law in our increasingly technology-led legal and economic order. It provides an in-depth examination of practical case studies, showcasing the real-world application of quantitative methods and theoretical approaches for analysing legal issues.