Size Distortions Of Tests Of The Null Hypothesis Of Stationary

Size Distortions of Tests of the Null Hypothesis of Stationary

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991

This is the sixth in a series of annuals from the National Bureau of EconomicResearch that are designed to stimulate research on problems in applied economics, to bring frontiertheoretical developments to a wider audience, and to accelerate the interaction between analyticaland empirical research in macroeconomics.Olivier Blanchard and Stanley Fischer are both Professorsof Economics at MIT.Contents: Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know aboutUnit Roots, John Y. Campbell and Pierre Perron. Markups and the Business Cycle, Julio Rotemberg andMichael Woodford. Privatization in Eastern Europe: Incentives and the Economics of Transition, JeanTirole. The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency, Kenneth A. Froot and Kenneth S.Rogoff. Growth, Macroeconomics, and Development, Stanley S. Fischer. Recessions as Reorganizations,Robert E. Hall.

Nonlinear Trending Time Series: Theory And Practice

Trends often play a dominant role in many empirical time series data, but do we truly understand these trends? What challenges arise when dealing with complex, nonstationary trending time series? How do we model such trends in fields like economics, finance, and climate change?This book provides an overview of recently developed models for trending time series and introduces new nonlinear, nonparametric, and semiparametric methods. Specifically, it offers practical approaches to address the problem of endogeneity in linear trending regression models where the trend component is either weak or strong. Additionally, it proposes a testing procedure for identifying common trends across multiple time series and includes illustrative examples from economics, finance, and climate change.As a practical toolbox, this book equips analysts with essential methods for investigating trends in their research and applications.