Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Late Health Effects Uncertain Assessment Volume 2 Appendices

Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis -- Late Health Effects Uncertain Assessment. Volume 2

The development of two new probabilistic accident consequence codes, MACCS and COSYMA, was completed in 1990. These codes estimate the consequence from the accidental releases of radiological material from hypothesized accidents at nuclear installations. In 1991, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the Commission of the European Communities began cosponsoring a joint uncertainty analysis of the two codes. The ultimate objective of this joint effort was to systematically develop credible and traceable uncertainty distributions for the respective code input variables. A formal expert judgment elicitation and evaluation process was identified as the best technology available for developing a library of uncertainty distributions for these consequence parameters. This report focuses on the results of the study to develop distribution for variables related to the MACCS and COSYMA late health effects models. This volume contains appendices that include (1) a summary of the MACCS and COSYMA consequence codes, (2) the elicitation questionnaires and case structures, (3) the rationales and results for the expert panel on late health effects, (4) short biographies of the experts, and (5) the aggregated results of their responses.

Environmental Medicine

Environmental Medicine is an indispensable aid to the investigation, diagnosis and treatment of a wide variety of environmentally-acquired disorders. It brings into sharp focus the increasing importance of the practice of environmental medicine, drawing together the many different strands that make up this modern discipline, and putting topical and

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