Predictive Intelligence For Tomorrow S Threats
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Predictive Intelligence for Tomorrow’s Threats
The world is facing an ever-changing array of complex threats to international security. Yet intelligence agencies have a mixed record of anticipating these threats, while decision makers have an equally mixed record of effectively acting on predictive intelligence when offered. Sometimes intelligence has provided a useful warning, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but at other times it has failed to anticipate critical events, such as the progress of fighting in Ukraine or the likelihood that a mob would carry out a deadly assault on the US Capitol building. And at still other times intelligence agencies appear to have provided warning, and yet policy makers failed to listen, such as before the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. This book casts new light on past failures and suggests new frameworks for thinking about future threats and challenges. Written for academics and practitioners, it answers key questions about how intelligence can better inform policy makers and, in turn, help them anticipate and act upon future threats. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism.
Threat Forecasting
Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as the basis for predicting future breaches, how to use security intelligence as a tool to develop threat forecasting techniques, and how to use threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools. Readers will gain valuable security insights into unstructured big data, along with tactics on how to use the data to their advantage to reduce risk. - Presents case studies and actual data to demonstrate threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools - Explores the usage of kill chain modelling to inform actionable security intelligence - Demonstrates a methodology that can be used to create a full threat forecast analysis for enterprise networks of any size
Predictive Intelligence for Tomorrow's Threats
The world is facing an ever-changing array of complex threats to international security. Yet intelligence agencies have a mixed record of anticipating these threats. This book casts new light on past failures and suggests new frameworks for thinking about future threats and challenges.