Option Prices As Probabilities


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How to Price and Trade Options


How to Price and Trade Options

Author: Al Sherbin

language: en

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Release Date: 2015-03-23


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Select and execute the best trades—and reduce risk Rather than teaching options from a financial perspective, How to Price and Trade Options: Identify, Analyze, and Execute the Best Trade Probabilities goes back to the Nobel Prize-winning Black-Scholes model. Written by well-known options expert Al Sherbin, it looks at the basis for probability theory in option trading and explains how to put the odds in your favor when trading options. Inside, you'll discover how anyone can "operate their own casino" if they know how through proper option strategies. Plus, a supplemental website includes videos that walk you through various probability scenarios, pre-formatted spreadsheets, and code. All investors should have a portion of their portfolio set aside for option trades. Not only do options provide great opportunities for leveraged plays, they can also help you earn larger profits with a smaller amount of cash outlay. With the help of this book, traders, active investors, and self-directed investors of all stripes will learn how simple it can be to deploy probability-based trading strategies. Teaches both defined and undefined risk strategies Utilizes simple cost basis reduction strategies to enhance investment returns Draws on unique research studies Discusses volatility to include both historical (realized) and implied volatility: the interplay between the two is a key piece of information overlooked by option traders If you're a trader of any level and want to make the best trades possible, this book has you covered.

Option Volatility Trading Strategies


Option Volatility Trading Strategies

Author: Sheldon Natenberg

language: en

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Release Date: 2013-03-18


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Sheldon Natenberg is one of the most sought after speakers on the topic of option trading and volatility strategies. This book takes Sheldon’s non-technical, carefully crafted presentation style and applies it to a book—one that you’ll study and carry around for years as your personal consultant. Learn about the most vital concepts that define options trading, concepts you’ll need to analyze and trade with confidence. In this volume, Sheldon explains the difference between historical volatility, future volatility, and implied volatility. He provides real inspiration and wisdom gleaned from years of trading experience. Th is book captures the energy of the spoken message direct from the source. Learn about implied volatility and how it is calculated Gain insight into the assumptions driving an options pricing model Master the techniques of comparing price to value Realize the important part that probability plays in estimating option prices

Stock Market Probability


Stock Market Probability

Author: Joseph E. Murphy

language: en

Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies

Release Date: 1994


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This book describes how to use statistical techniques to manage risk and improve returns. By estimating the probability of various investment outcomes in advance, investors can make better-informed decisions. Joseph Murphy shows how statistical tools and techniques such as standard deviation, disper