Odern Time Series Forecasting With Python
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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
Build real-world time series forecasting systems which scale to millions of time series by applying modern machine learning and deep learning concepts Key Features Explore industry-tested machine learning techniques used to forecast millions of time series Get started with the revolutionary paradigm of global forecasting models Get to grips with new concepts by applying them to real-world datasets of energy forecasting Book DescriptionWe live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.What you will learn Find out how to manipulate and visualize time series data like a pro Set strong baselines with popular models such as ARIMA Discover how time series forecasting can be cast as regression Engineer features for machine learning models for forecasting Explore the exciting world of ensembling and stacking models Get to grips with the global forecasting paradigm Understand and apply state-of-the-art DL models such as N-BEATS and Autoformer Explore multi-step forecasting and cross-validation strategies Who this book is for The book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and Python developers who want to build industry-ready time series models. Since the book explains most concepts from the ground up, basic proficiency in Python is all you need. Prior understanding of machine learning or forecasting will help speed up your learning. For experienced machine learning and forecasting practitioners, this book has a lot to offer in terms of advanced techniques and traversing the latest research frontiers in time series forecasting.
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
DESCRIPTION Time series forecasting is driving decision-making in everything from financial markets to supply chain logistics. This book provides a hands-on roadmap to mastering this technology, bridging the gap between classical statistical rigor and cutting-edge artificial intelligence. Understand time series fundamentals by exploring decomposition, stationarity, and ACF/PACF analysis before mastering preprocessing and feature engineering. You will build foundational ARIMA, SARIMA, and Holt-Winters’ models before pivoting to machine learning with XGBoost and Scikit-learn. The journey accelerates into deep learning, designing RNNs, LSTMs, and hybrid CNN-LSTM architectures for univariate and multivariate forecasting. After exploring advanced VAR and VECM models, you will implement walk-forward validation and professional error metrics. The final sections cover scalability and MLOps, teaching you to handle big data with Dask and deploy production-ready models via FastAPI and Apache Kafka. By the end of this book, you will be a competent practitioner capable of building high-performance forecasting pipelines for stock prices, demand, and sensor data. You will possess the technical expertise to deploy scalable, ethical, and accurate models in real-world cloud environments with confidence. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN ● Diagnose trend and seasonality using Statsmodels stationarity. ● Build ARIMA/SARIMA and smoothing models using Statsmodels. ● Engineer lag, rolling, and calendar-based forecasting features. ● Deploy FastAPI pipelines and monitor Kafka drift. ● Build LSTM and GRU architectures with TensorFlow. ● Backtest, compare, and ensemble models with confidence. ● Deploy, monitor, and retrain forecasting pipelines at scale. WHO THIS BOOK IS FOR This book is designed for data scientists, machine learning engineers, and analysts mastering temporal data. Proficiency in Python and basic statistics is required, while experience with cloud deployment or deep learning helps professional engineers scale models using the featured technical frameworks. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction to Time Series Data and Analysis 2. Data Pre-processing and Feature Engineering 3. Exploratory and Statistical Analysis of Time Series 4. Autoregressive Models 5. Moving Average and ARMA Models 6. ARIMA and SARIMA Models 7. Exponential Smoothing Methods 8. Feature-based Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting 9. Introduction to Deep Learning for Time Series 10. Building and Training LSTM Models for Time Series 11. Advanced Deep Learning Architectures and Multivariate Forecasting 12. Multivariate Time Series Forecasting 13. Model Evaluation, Selection, and Ensembling 14. Forecasting at Scale and Model Deployment 15. Time Series Forecasting in Practice
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
Learn traditional and cutting-edge machine learning (ML) and deep learning techniques and best practices for time series forecasting, including global forecasting models, conformal prediction, and transformer architectures Key Features Apply ML and global models to improve forecasting accuracy through practical examples Enhance your time series toolkit by using deep learning models, including RNNs, transformers, and N-BEATS Learn probabilistic forecasting with conformal prediction, Monte Carlo dropout, and quantile regressions Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in PDF format Book Description Predicting the future, whether it's market trends, energy demand, or website traffic, has never been more crucial. This practical, hands-on guide empowers you to build and deploy powerful time series forecasting models. Whether you’re working with traditional statistical methods or cutting-edge deep learning architectures, this book provides structured learning and best practices for both. Starting with the basics, this data science book introduces fundamental time series concepts, such as ARIMA and exponential smoothing, before gradually progressing to advanced topics, such as machine learning for time series, deep neural networks, and transformers. As part of your fundamentals training, you’ll learn preprocessing, feature engineering, and model evaluation. As you progress, you’ll also explore global forecasting models, ensemble methods, and probabilistic forecasting techniques. This new edition goes deeper into transformer architectures and probabilistic forecasting, including new content on the latest time series models, conformal prediction, and hierarchical forecasting. Whether you seek advanced deep learning insights or specialized architecture implementations, this edition provides practical strategies and new content to elevate your forecasting skills. What you will learn Build machine learning models for regression-based time series forecasting Apply powerful feature engineering techniques to enhance prediction accuracy Tackle common challenges like non-stationarity and seasonality Combine multiple forecasts using ensembling and stacking for superior results Explore cutting-edge advancements in probabilistic forecasting and handle intermittent or sparse time series Evaluate and validate your forecasts using best practices and statistical metrics Who this book is for This book is ideal for data scientists, financial analysts, quantitative analysts, machine learning engineers, and researchers who need to model time-dependent data across industries, such as finance, energy, meteorology, risk analysis, and retail. Whether you are a professional looking to apply cutting-edge models to real-world problems or a student aiming to build a strong foundation in time series analysis and forecasting, this book will provide the tools and techniques you need. Familiarity with Python and basic machine learning concepts is recommended.