Jakob Poeltl Points Per Game
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On the Edge
AN INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER 'Masterly... Utterly compelling... A highly readable and engaging tour' Sam Freedman, The Times From the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk—and the players raising the stakes In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver showed how forecasting would define the age of Big Data. Now, in this timely and riveting new book, Silver investigates "The River," or those whose mastery of risk allows them to shape—and dominate—so much of modern life. These professional risk takers—poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true-believers and blue-chip art collectors—can teach us much about navigating the uncertainty of the 21st century. By embedding within these worlds, Silver offers insight into a range of issues that affect us all, from the frontiers of finance to the future of AI. The River has increasing amounts of wealth and power in our society, and understanding their mindset—including the flaws in their thinking—is key to understanding what drives technology and the global economy today. There are certain commonalities in this otherwise diverse group: high tolerance for risk; appreciation of uncertainty; affinity for numbers; skill at de-coupling; self-reliance and a distrust of the conventional wisdom. For the River, complexity is baked in, and the work is how to navigate it, without going beyond the pale. Taking us behind-the-scenes from casinos to venture capital firms to meetings of the effective altruism movement, On the Edge is a deeply-reported, all-access journey into a hidden world of powerbrokers and risk takers.
Al límite
Un viaje privilegiado que revela cómo los maestros del riesgo moldean el mundo moderno «Una lectura cautivadora y reveladora que analiza la capacidad de asumir riesgos y cómo esta se aplica a las inversiones». Financial Times Nate Silver es conocido por revolucionar el análisis predictivo aplicado a los deportes, la economía y la política, pero antes de eso se ganaba la vida jugando al póker. En su nuevo libro, Silver parte de su experiencia como jugador para investigar a una comunidad de personas con ideas afines cuyo dominio del riesgo le permite dar forma y dominar gran parte de la vida moderna. Él la llama El Río. La mayoría de nosotros no tenemos los rasgos que comparten estos profesionales del riesgo: alta tolerancia a situaciones límite, gusto por la incertidumbre, afinidad por los números, una desconfianza instintiva de la sabiduría convencional y un impulso competitivo tan intenso que puede rayar en lo irracional. Para ellos, la complejidad es inherente a la existencia y el trabajo consiste en saber navegarla. Lejos de tratarse de unos outsiders, este tipo de personas acumulan cada vez más riqueza y poder en nuestras sociedades. De ahí que comprender su mentalidad (y los fallos de su pensamiento) sea indispensable si queremos entender qué impulsa la tecnología y la economía global. Al llevarnos tras bambalinas, desde casinos hasta firmas de capital riesgo, desde el interior de la plataforma de criptomonedas FTX hasta reuniones del movimiento de altruismo eficaz, este libro supone un viaje con acceso privilegiado a un mundo oculto pero esencial para vislumbrar la naturaleza de la incertidumbre en el siglo XXI. «Un libro fascinante. Una reflexión sobre el riesgo, sobre quienes se sienten más cómodos asumiéndolo y una invitación a pensar qué representa que estemos cada vez más a su merced». N ew York Times «Magistral. Una lectura apasionante para quienes no podemos resistirnos a los juegos de apuestas». The Times «Una mirada afilada a un universo singular: el de las personas que se atreven a apostar contra el riesgo... y ganan». Kirkus Reviews
The Midrange Theory
From one of basketball's foremost experts in the field of analytics, a fascinating new perspective on how to watch and think about the game. At its core, the goal of any basketball team is relatively simple: take and make good shots while preventing the opponent from doing the same. But what is a "good" shot? Are all good shots created equally? And how might one identify players who are more or less likely to make and prevent those shots in the first place? The concept of basketball "analytics," for lack of a better term, has been lauded, derided, and misunderstood. The incorporation of more data into NBA decision-making has been credited—or blamed—for everything from the death of the traditional center to the proliferation of three-point shooting to the alleged abandonment of the area of the court known as the midrange. What is beyond doubt is that understanding its methods has never been more important to watching and appreciating the NBA. In The Midrange Theory, Seth Partnow, NBA analyst for The Athletic and former Director of Basketball Research for the Milwaukee Bucks, explains how numbers have affected the modern NBA game, and how those numbers seek not to "solve" the game of basketball but instead urge us toward thinking about it in new ways. The relative value of Russell Westbrook's triple-doubles Why some players succeed in the playoffs while others don't How NBA teams think about constructing their rosters through the draft and free agency The difficulty in measuring defensive achievement The fallacy of the "quick two" From shot selection to evaluating prospects to considering aesthetics and ethics while analyzing the box scores, Partnow deftly explores where the NBA is now, how it got here, and where it might be going next.