Https Github Com Camdavidsonpilon Probabilistic Programming And Bayesian Methods For Hackers

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Bayesian Methods for Hackers

Author: Cameron Davidson-Pilon
language: en
Publisher: Addison-Wesley Professional
Release Date: 2015-09-30
Master Bayesian Inference through Practical Examples and Computation–Without Advanced Mathematical Analysis Bayesian methods of inference are deeply natural and extremely powerful. However, most discussions of Bayesian inference rely on intensely complex mathematical analyses and artificial examples, making it inaccessible to anyone without a strong mathematical background. Now, though, Cameron Davidson-Pilon introduces Bayesian inference from a computational perspective, bridging theory to practice–freeing you to get results using computing power. Bayesian Methods for Hackers illuminates Bayesian inference through probabilistic programming with the powerful PyMC language and the closely related Python tools NumPy, SciPy, and Matplotlib. Using this approach, you can reach effective solutions in small increments, without extensive mathematical intervention. Davidson-Pilon begins by introducing the concepts underlying Bayesian inference, comparing it with other techniques and guiding you through building and training your first Bayesian model. Next, he introduces PyMC through a series of detailed examples and intuitive explanations that have been refined after extensive user feedback. You’ll learn how to use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, choose appropriate sample sizes and priors, work with loss functions, and apply Bayesian inference in domains ranging from finance to marketing. Once you’ve mastered these techniques, you’ll constantly turn to this guide for the working PyMC code you need to jumpstart future projects. Coverage includes • Learning the Bayesian “state of mind” and its practical implications • Understanding how computers perform Bayesian inference • Using the PyMC Python library to program Bayesian analyses • Building and debugging models with PyMC • Testing your model’s “goodness of fit” • Opening the “black box” of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to see how and why it works • Leveraging the power of the “Law of Large Numbers” • Mastering key concepts, such as clustering, convergence, autocorrelation, and thinning • Using loss functions to measure an estimate’s weaknesses based on your goals and desired outcomes • Selecting appropriate priors and understanding how their influence changes with dataset size • Overcoming the “exploration versus exploitation” dilemma: deciding when “pretty good” is good enough • Using Bayesian inference to improve A/B testing • Solving data science problems when only small amounts of data are available Cameron Davidson-Pilon has worked in many areas of applied mathematics, from the evolutionary dynamics of genes and diseases to stochastic modeling of financial prices. His contributions to the open source community include lifelines, an implementation of survival analysis in Python. Educated at the University of Waterloo and at the Independent University of Moscow, he currently works with the online commerce leader Shopify.
Hands-On Data Analysis with Pandas

Author: Stefanie Molin
language: en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date: 2021-04-29
Get to grips with pandas by working with real datasets and master data discovery, data manipulation, data preparation, and handling data for analytical tasks Key Features Perform efficient data analysis and manipulation tasks using pandas 1.x Apply pandas to different real-world domains with the help of step-by-step examples Make the most of pandas as an effective data exploration tool Book DescriptionExtracting valuable business insights is no longer a ‘nice-to-have’, but an essential skill for anyone who handles data in their enterprise. Hands-On Data Analysis with Pandas is here to help beginners and those who are migrating their skills into data science get up to speed in no time. This book will show you how to analyze your data, get started with machine learning, and work effectively with the Python libraries often used for data science, such as pandas, NumPy, matplotlib, seaborn, and scikit-learn. Using real-world datasets, you will learn how to use the pandas library to perform data wrangling to reshape, clean, and aggregate your data. Then, you will learn how to conduct exploratory data analysis by calculating summary statistics and visualizing the data to find patterns. In the concluding chapters, you will explore some applications of anomaly detection, regression, clustering, and classification using scikit-learn to make predictions based on past data. This updated edition will equip you with the skills you need to use pandas 1.x to efficiently perform various data manipulation tasks, reliably reproduce analyses, and visualize your data for effective decision making – valuable knowledge that can be applied across multiple domains.What you will learn Understand how data analysts and scientists gather and analyze data Perform data analysis and data wrangling using Python Combine, group, and aggregate data from multiple sources Create data visualizations with pandas, matplotlib, and seaborn Apply machine learning algorithms to identify patterns and make predictions Use Python data science libraries to analyze real-world datasets Solve common data representation and analysis problems using pandas Build Python scripts, modules, and packages for reusable analysis code Who this book is for This book is for data science beginners, data analysts, and Python developers who want to explore each stage of data analysis and scientific computing using a wide range of datasets. Data scientists looking to implement pandas in their machine learning workflow will also find plenty of valuable know-how as they progress. You’ll find it easier to follow along with this book if you have a working knowledge of the Python programming language, but a Python crash-course tutorial is provided in the code bundle for anyone who needs a refresher.
Understanding Probability

"Understanding Probability" is an essential guide for students, researchers, and professionals to master the principles and diverse applications of probability theory. We meticulously explore core concepts like sample spaces, events, and probability distributions, and delve into advanced areas such as Bayesian inference, stochastic processes, and decision theory. Written for clarity, each chapter provides insightful explanations supported by real-world examples and practical applications. Our book spans multiple disciplines, including statistics, machine learning, finance, engineering, and operations research, making it a valuable resource for readers from various backgrounds. Numerous exercises and problems reinforce learning and equip readers to apply probability theory to real-world scenarios. "Understanding Probability" is an invaluable resource that deepens your understanding of probability and its crucial role in navigating uncertainties in the world around us.