Higher Order Asymptotic Theory For Time Series Analysis

Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Analysis

The initial basis of this book was a series of my research papers, that I listed in References. I have many people to thank for the book's existence. Regarding higher order asymptotic efficiency I thank Professors Kei Takeuchi and M. Akahira for their many comments. I used their concept of efficiency for time series analysis. During the summer of 1983, I had an opportunity to visit The Australian National University, and could elucidate the third-order asymptotics of some estimators. I express my sincere thanks to Professor E.J. Hannan for his warmest encouragement and kindness. Multivariate time series analysis seems an important topic. In 1986 I visited Center for Mul tivariate Analysis, University of Pittsburgh. I received a lot of impact from multivariate analysis, and applied many multivariate methods to the higher order asymptotic theory of vector time series. I am very grateful to the late Professor P.R. Krishnaiah for his cooperation and kindness. In Japan my research was mainly performed in Hiroshima University. There is a research group of statisticians who are interested in the asymptotic expansions in statistics. Throughout this book I often used the asymptotic expansion techniques. I thank all the members of this group, especially Professors Y. Fujikoshi and K. Maekawa foItheir helpful discussion. When I was a student of Osaka University I learned multivariate analysis and time series analysis from Professors Masashi Okamoto and T. Nagai, respectively. It is a pleasure to thank them for giving me much of research background.

Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Analysis

Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series

There has been much demand for the statistical analysis of dependent ob servations in many fields, for example, economics, engineering and the nat ural sciences. A model that describes the probability structure of a se ries of dependent observations is called a stochastic process. The primary aim of this book is to provide modern statistical techniques and theory for stochastic processes. The stochastic processes mentioned here are not restricted to the usual autoregressive (AR), moving average (MA), and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) processes. We deal with a wide variety of stochastic processes, for example, non-Gaussian linear processes, long-memory processes, nonlinear processes, orthogonal increment process es, and continuous time processes. For them we develop not only the usual estimation and testing theory but also many other statistical methods and techniques, such as discriminant analysis, cluster analysis, nonparametric methods, higher order asymptotic theory in view of differential geometry, large deviation principle, and saddlepoint approximation. Because it is d ifficult to use the exact distribution theory, the discussion is based on the asymptotic theory. Optimality of various procedures is often shown by use of local asymptotic normality (LAN), which is due to LeCam. This book is suitable as a professional reference book on statistical anal ysis of stochastic processes or as a textbook for students who specialize in statistics. It will also be useful to researchers, including those in econo metrics, mathematics, and seismology, who utilize statistical methods for stochastic processes.