Exploration Of A Nonlinear World An Appreciation Of Howell Tong S Contributions To Statistics
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Exploration of a Nonlinear World
This festschrift is dedicated to Professor Howell Tong on the occasion of his 65th birthday. With a Foreword written by Professor Peter Whittle, FRS, it celebrates Tong's path-breaking and tireless contributions to nonlinear time series analysis, chaos and statistics, by reprinting 10 selected papers by him and his collaborators, which are interleaved with 17 original reviews, written by 19 international experts. Through these papers and reviews, readers will have an opportunity to share many of the excitements, retrospectively and prospectively, of the relatively new subject of nonlinear time series. Tong has played a leading role in laying the foundation of the subject; his innovative and authoritative contributions are reflected in the review articles in the volume, which describe modern and related developments in the subject, including applications in many major fields such as ecology, economics, finance and others. This volume will be useful to researchers and students interested in the theory and practice of nonlinear time series analysis. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (68 KB). Chapter 1: Birth of the Threshold Time Series Model (269 KB). Contents: Reflections on Threshold Autoregression (P J Brockwell); The Threshold Approach in Volatility Modelling (W K Li); Dependence and Nonlinearity (M Rosenblatt); Recent Developments on Semiparametric Regression Model Selection (J Gao); Thoughts on the Connections Between Threshold Time Series Models and Dynamical Systems (D B H Cline); Crossing the Bridge Backwards: Some Comments on Early Interdisciplinary Efforts (C D Cutler); On Likelihood Ratio Tests for Threshold Autoregression (K-S Chan & H Tong); An Adaptive Estimation Method for Semiparametric Models and Dimension Reduction (C Leng et al.); On Howell Tong's Contributions to Reliability (M M Ali); and other papers. Readership: Graduate students and researchers in statistics and related fields of ecology, economics and finance.
Exploration Of A Nonlinear World: An Appreciation Of Howell Tong's Contributions To Statistics
This festschrift is dedicated to Professor Howell Tong on the occasion of his 65th birthday. With a Foreword written by Professor Peter Whittle, FRS, it celebrates Tong's path-breaking and tireless contributions to nonlinear time series analysis, chaos and statistics, by reprinting 10 selected papers by him and his collaborators, which are interleaved with 17 original reviews, written by 19 international experts.Through these papers and reviews, readers will have an opportunity to share many of the excitements, retrospectively and prospectively, of the relatively new subject of nonlinear time series. Tong has played a leading role in laying the foundation of the subject; his innovative and authoritative contributions are reflected in the review articles in the volume, which describe modern and related developments in the subject, including applications in many major fields such as ecology, economics, finance and others. This volume will be useful to researchers and students interested in the theory and practice of nonlinear time series analysis.
Elements of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
This book provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art of nonlinear time series analysis, richly illustrated with examples, pseudocode algorithms and real-world applications. Avoiding a “theorem-proof” format, it shows concrete applications on a variety of empirical time series. The book can be used in graduate courses in nonlinear time series and at the same time also includes interesting material for more advanced readers. Though it is largely self-contained, readers require an understanding of basic linear time series concepts, Markov chains and Monte Carlo simulation methods. The book covers time-domain and frequency-domain methods for the analysis of both univariate and multivariate (vector) time series. It makes a clear distinction between parametric models on the one hand, and semi- and nonparametric models/methods on the other. This offers the reader the option of concentrating exclusively on one of these nonlinear time series analysis methods. To make the book as user friendly as possible, major supporting concepts and specialized tables are appended at the end of every chapter. In addition, each chapter concludes with a set of key terms and concepts, as well as a summary of the main findings. Lastly, the book offers numerous theoretical and empirical exercises, with answers provided by the author in an extensive solutions manual.