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On the Edge

AN INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER 'Masterly... Utterly compelling... A highly readable and engaging tour' Sam Freedman, The Times From the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk—and the players raising the stakes In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver showed how forecasting would define the age of Big Data. Now, in this timely and riveting new book, Silver investigates "The River," or those whose mastery of risk allows them to shape—and dominate—so much of modern life. These professional risk takers—poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true-believers and blue-chip art collectors—can teach us much about navigating the uncertainty of the 21st century. By embedding within these worlds, Silver offers insight into a range of issues that affect us all, from the frontiers of finance to the future of AI. The River has increasing amounts of wealth and power in our society, and understanding their mindset—including the flaws in their thinking—is key to understanding what drives technology and the global economy today. There are certain commonalities in this otherwise diverse group: high tolerance for risk; appreciation of uncertainty; affinity for numbers; skill at de-coupling; self-reliance and a distrust of the conventional wisdom. For the River, complexity is baked in, and the work is how to navigate it, without going beyond the pale. Taking us behind-the-scenes from casinos to venture capital firms to meetings of the effective altruism movement, On the Edge is a deeply-reported, all-access journey into a hidden world of powerbrokers and risk takers.

The Science of Scaling

What if scaling wasn’t about working harder—but seeing your business through an entirely new lens? Are you stuck growing 10–20% a year while dreaming of bigger impact—and wondering why scale feels out of reach? Here’s the hard truth: linear growth isn’t just slow—it’s a sign your business is heading toward stagnation. Research shows that businesses that don’t scale quickly usually fail altogether. Why? Because most leaders are focused on the wrong things, operating from the wrong assumptions, and setting the wrong goals. In The Science of Scaling, organizational psychologist and bestselling author Dr. Benjamin Hardy, and Blake Erickson, co-founders of Scaling.com, reveal a revolutionary framework that helps companies scale bigger and faster than they ever thought possible. In fact, companies that apply this framework routinely grow 10–100x within just three years. You’ll learn: The single starting point every scaling company must define—but most completely miss How to use time as a tool to eliminate dead ends and force focus How to identify your blind spots—and stop justifying the decisions that keep you small How to simplify your business model and system so it actually scales How to attract and empower world-class talent who deliver exponential results Before you finish this book, you’ll experience a paradigm shift so profound that it will change how you see everything. You’ll realize you’ve been playing small, operating linearly out of fear. And you’ll finally understand how to scale the right way: with bold, impossible goals, extreme honesty, and the true “focus”— defined as filtering for only the people and paths that align directly with your highest vision. If you’re satisfied with small wins and incremental gains, this book isn’t for you. But if you’re ready to stop optimizing what shouldn’t exist—and finally build a business that scales—this is your playbook.