Doubt And Certainty In Climate Science
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Doubt and Certainty in Climate Science
Author: Alan Longhurst
language: en
Publisher: Critical Science Press
Release Date: 2023-03-15
In "Doubt and Certainty in Climate Science," well-known oceanographer Alan Longhurst offers a unique vision of climate change and its scientific study. His deep knowledge of oceanographic research, fishery productivity, and marine ecological changes over several centuries made him doubt some of the postulates of climate science by scientists working on computers with only a few decades of data. In this book, the author reviews what scientists know about climate change, the known unknowns, and the unknown unknowns that give rise to uncertainties about future climate change that is causing far-reaching social and political change. Longhurst provides an incisive critical review of numerous topics in climate change. Beginning with a review of some regional temperature measurements, he questions the robustness of the leading indicator of climate change, a global average of widely differing measurements of sea and land surface temperature. The book offers unique insights worthy of consideration by those seeking to understand climate change, particularly the important role of the oceans in climate.
Unsettled (Updated and Expanded Edition)
In this updated and expanded edition of climate scientist Steven Koonin’s groundbreaking book, go behind the headlines to discover the latest eye-opening data about climate change—with unbiased facts and realistic steps for the future. "Greenland’s ice loss is accelerating." "Extreme temperatures are causing more fatalities." "Rapid 'climate action' is essential to avoid a future climate disaster." You've heard all this presented as fact. But according to science, all of these statements are profoundly misleading. With the new edition of Unsettled, Steven Koonin draws on decades of experience—including as a top science advisor to the Obama administration—to clear away the fog and explain what science really says (and doesn't say). With a new introduction, this edition now features reflections on an additional three years of eye-opening data, alternatives to unrealistic “net zero” solutions, global energy inequalities, and the energy crisis arising from the war in Ukraine. When it comes to climate change, the media, politicians, and other prominent voices have declared that “the science is settled.” In reality, the climate is changing, but the why and how aren’t as clear as you’ve probably been led to believe. Koonin takes readers behind the headlines, dispels popular myths, and unveils little-known truths: Despite rising greenhouse gas emissions, global temperatures decreased from 1940 to 1970 Models currently used to predict the future do not accurately describe the climate of the past, and modelers themselves strongly doubt their regional predictions There is no compelling evidence that hurricanes are becoming more frequent—or that predictions of rapid sea level rise have any validity Unsettled is a reality check buoyed by hope, offering the truth about climate science—what we know, what we don’t, and what it all means for our future.
The Fight Against Doubt
Author: Inmaculada de Melo-Martín
language: en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date: 2018-07-02
The lack of public support for climate change policies and refusals to vaccinate children are just two alarming illustrations of the impacts of dissent about scientific claims. Dissent can lead to confusion, false beliefs, and widespread public doubt about highly justified scientific evidence. Even more dangerously, it has begun to corrode the very authority of scientific consensus and knowledge. Deployed aggressively and to political ends, some dissent can intimidate scientists, stymie research, and lead both the public and policymakers to oppose important public policies firmly rooted in science. To criticize dissent is, however, a fraught exercise. Skepticism and fearless debate are key to the scientific process, making it both vital and incredibly difficult to characterize and identify dissent that is problematic in its approach and consequences. Indeed, as de Melo-Martín and Intemann show, the criteria commonly proposed as means of identifying inappropriate dissent are flawed and the strategies generally recommended to tackle such dissent are not only ineffective but could even make the situation worse. The Fight Against Doubt proposes that progress on this front can best be achieved by enhancing the trustworthiness of the scientific community and by being more realistic about the limits of science when it comes to policymaking. It shows that a richer understanding of the context in which science operates is needed to disarm problematic dissent and those who deploy it. This, the authors argue, is the best way forward, rather than diagnosing the many instances of wrong-headed dissent.