Deep Reinforcement Learning And Macroeconomic Modelling


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AI and Macroeconomic Modeling: Deep Reinforcement Learning in an RBC Model


AI and Macroeconomic Modeling: Deep Reinforcement Learning in an RBC Model

Author: Tohid Atashbar

language: en

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Release Date: 2023-02-24


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This study seeks to construct a basic reinforcement learning-based AI-macroeconomic simulator. We use a deep RL (DRL) approach (DDPG) in an RBC macroeconomic model. We set up two learning scenarios, one of which is deterministic without the technological shock and the other is stochastic. The objective of the deterministic environment is to compare the learning agent's behavior to a deterministic steady-state scenario. We demonstrate that in both deterministic and stochastic scenarios, the agent's choices are close to their optimal value. We also present cases of unstable learning behaviours. This AI-macro model may be enhanced in future research by adding additional variables or sectors to the model or by incorporating different DRL algorithms.

Deep Reinforcement Learning and Macroeconomic Modelling


Deep Reinforcement Learning and Macroeconomic Modelling

Author: Rui Shi (Aruhan)

language: en

Publisher:

Release Date: 2023


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Deep Reinforcement Learning: Emerging Trends in Macroeconomics and Future Prospects


Deep Reinforcement Learning: Emerging Trends in Macroeconomics and Future Prospects

Author: Tohid Atashbar

language: en

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Release Date: 2022-12-16


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The application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in economics has been an area of active research in recent years. A number of recent works have shown how deep reinforcement learning can be used to study a variety of economic problems, including optimal policy-making, game theory, and bounded rationality. In this paper, after a theoretical introduction to deep reinforcement learning and various DRL algorithms, we provide an overview of the literature on deep reinforcement learning in economics, with a focus on the main applications of deep reinforcement learning in macromodeling. Then, we analyze the potentials and limitations of deep reinforcement learning in macroeconomics and identify a number of issues that need to be addressed in order for deep reinforcement learning to be more widely used in macro modeling.