A Hybrid Time Series Forecasting Method Based On Neutrosophic Logic With Applications In Financial Issues
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A hybrid time series forecasting method based on neutrosophic logic with applications in financial issues
Author: Seyyed Ahmad Edalatpanah
language: en
Publisher: Infinite Study
Release Date: 2024-11-01
Rising market demands, economic pressures, and technological advancements have spurred researchers to seek ways to enhance business environments and scientific productivity. Predictive science, crucial in this context, has gained prominence due to the rapid progress in information technology and forecasting algorithms. Time series forecasting, widely used in fields like engineering, economics, tourism, and energy, has inherent limitations with classical statistical methods, leading researchers to explore artificial intelligence and fuzzy logic for more accurate predictions. However, despite extensive efforts to improve accuracy, challenges persist. The research introduces a model aimed at surpassing existing methods in time series forecasting accuracy. This approach combines meta-heuristic optimization algorithms and neutrosophic logic to enhance precision in uncertain and complex environments, promising improved forecasting outcomes. The study shows that the performance of the neutrosophic time series modeling approach is highly dependent on the optimal selection of the universe of discourse and its corresponding intervals. This study selects the quantum optimization algorithm (QOA), genetic algorithm (GA), and particle swarm optimization (PSO) to address this weakness. These optimization algorithms improve the performance of the NTS modeling approach by selecting the global universe of discourse and corresponding intervals from the list of locally optimal solutions. The proposed hybrid model (i.e., NTS-QOA model) is verified and validated with datasets of university enrollment of Alabama (USA), Taiwan futures exchange (TAIFEX) index, and Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation (TSEC) weighted index. Various experimental results signified the efficiency of the proposed model over existing benchmark models in terms of average forecasting error rate (AFER). This value using the proposed NTS QOA, NTS GA, and NTS PSO method on the university dataset is 0.166, 0.167, 0.164, on the TAIFEX dataset, is 0.081, 0.081, and 0.081, and on the TSEC dataset is 0.09, 0.09, and 0.09, respectively.
Neutrosophic Sets and Systems, vol. 71/2024 {Special Issue: Proceedings of the International Conference “NeutroGeometry, NeutroAlgebra, and Their Applications,” Havana, Cuba, 12-14 August 2024}
Author: Florentin Smarandache
language: en
Publisher: Infinite Study
Release Date: 2024-09-01
A special issue of the International Journal in Information Science and Engineering “Neutrosophic Sets and Systems” (vol. 71/2024) is dedicated to the Conference on NeutroGeometry, NeutroAlgebra, and Their Applications, organized by the Latin American Association of Neutrosophic Sciences. This event, which took place on August 12-14, 2024, in Havana, Cuba, was made possible by the valuable collaboration of the University of Havana, the University of Physical Culture and Sports Sciences "Manuel Fajardo," the José Antonio Echeverría University of Technology, University of Informatics Sciences and the Cuban Academy of Sciences among other institutions. In 2019 Smarandache generalized the classical Algebraic Structures to NeutroAlgebraic Structures (or NeutroAlgebras) {whose operations and axioms are partially true, partially indeterminate, and partially false} as extensions of Partial Algebra, and to AntiAlgebraic Structures (or AntiAlgebras) {whose operations and axioms are totally false} and on 2020 he continued to develop them. The NeutroAlgebras & AntiAlgebras are a new field of research, which is inspired from our real world. In classical algebraic structures, all operations are 100% well-defined, and all axioms are 100% true, but in real life, in many cases these restrictions are too harsh, since in our world we have things that only partially verify some operations or some laws. Similarly, a classical Geometry structure has all axioms totally (100%) true. A NeutroGeometry structure has some axioms that are only partially true, and no axiom is totally (100%) false. Whereas an AntiGeometry structure has at least one axiom that is totally (100%) false. And in general, in any field of knowledge one has: Structure, NeutroStructure, and AntiStructure which were inspired from our real world where the laws (axioms) do not equally apply to all people and in the same degree. This special issue aims to highlight the most recent advances and applications in the fields of NeutroGeometry and NeutroAlgebra, two areas that are at the forefront of contemporary mathematical and scientific thought. During the conference, the mathematical foundations and practical applications of these disciplines were explored, as well as their relevance in the MultiAlism system and other interdisciplinary areas. The content of this special issue has been carefully selected to reflect the diversity and depth of the topics discussed at the conference. This event and the subsequent publication of these works underline the growing importance of neutrosophic theories in the current scientific landscape. We are confident that the ideas and discoveries shared in these pages will be of great value to researchers, academics, and professionals interested in these innovative areas of knowledge.
Neutrosophic Sets and Systems, vol. 73/2024 {Proceedings of the “Mediterranean Conference on Three Decades of Neutrosophic and Plithogenic Theories and Applications” (MeCoNeT 2024)}
Author: Florentin Smarandache
language: en
Publisher: Infinite Study
Release Date: 2024-12-01
This volume contains the proceedings of the Mediterranean Conference on Neutrosophic Theory (MeCoNeT 2024), held at the Accademia Peloritana dei Pericolanti of the University of Messina on September 24-25, 2024. The event was organized by the MIFT Department (Mathematics, Computer Science, Physics, and Earth Sciences) of the University of Messina, marking the first international congress on neutrosophic theories outside the Americas. This milestone has firmly established the Mediterranean region as a key hub for research in the rapidly growing field of neutrosophic theory. The MeCoNeT 2024 conference drew over 100 participants from more than 15 countries, with more than 50 scientific contributions selected through a rigorous peer review process. The hybrid format of the event—featuring in-person sessions at the historical Accademia Peloritana dei Pericolanti and online parallel sessions—allowed for broad international participation. The conference thus offered an ideal platform for sharing interdisciplinary research and addressing contemporary challenges in mathematics and beyond.