A Guide And Tool For Projecting Public Debt And Fiscal Adjustment Paths With Local And Foreign Currency Debt
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A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt
Author: Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
language: en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date: 2021-05-28
This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a user manual for the Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT).
A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Gross Financing Needs
Author: Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
language: en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date: 2025-01-24
This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a manual for the Public Debt Dynamics Tool with Gross Financing Needs (DDT_GFN), an extension of the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT). The DDT projects public debt as percent of GDP under a baseline and alternative scenarios. The DDT_GFN presents debt-to-GDP projections and the corresponding public gross financing needs (GFN)-to-GDP projections for all DDT scenarios, including fan charts for both public debt and GFN. The DDT_GFN also computes fiscal adjustment paths for a user defined GFN target and adjustment period. Twelve often publicly available macrofiscal variables are needed to perform a rich analysis of public debt and GFN dynamics. The DDT_GFN was developed by the IMF Institute for Capacity Development to be used for its capacity development work on macroeconomic frameworks for forecasting and policy analysis.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Author: I. M. F. Institute
language: en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date: 2025-02-07
Technical assistance to develop a macroeconomic framework was delivered to the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (CBBH) between April 2021 and December 2023. The Quarterly Macro Forecasting Framework (QMFF) developed during this project is a quarterly framework whose main behavioral equations are specified in terms of deviations of real variables from their long-run trends. The framework is a novel combination of a gap-based modeling approach and financial programing. This novel approach was custom-built for the CBBH, but it has the flexibility to be adjusted to accommodate the macroeconomic characteristics of various countries and different exchange rate regimes, as well as to incorporate backward- or forward-looking expectation formation. While considerable progress has been achieved in the operation of the QMFF, more time and resources are needed to fully utilize and integrate the QMFF as the CBBH's main policy analysis and forecasting tool.