2022 Update Of The External Balance Assessment Methodology

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2022 Update of the External Balance Assessment Methodology

Author: Mr. Cian Allen
language: en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date: 2023-03-03
The assessment of external positions and exchange rates of member countries is a key mandate of the IMF. The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has provided the framework for conducting external sector assessments by Fund staff since its introduction in 2012. This paper provides the latest version of the EBA methodology, updated in 2022 with additional refinements to the current account and real exchange rate regression models, as well as updated estimates for other components of the EBA methodology. The paper also includes an assessment of how estimated current account gaps based on EBA are associated with future external adjustment.
EBA-Lite 3.0 Model and Methodology

Author: International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
language: en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date: 2024-11-18
The EBA-lite methodology is a key input in external sector assessments for over three-quarters of IMF member countries, representing a broad set of emerging and low-income economies. The EBA-lite methodology is refined periodically, and this paper provides a comprehensive discussion of the current EBA-lite econometric models and framework which is referred to as EBA-lite 3.0. The most recent refinements to the EBA-lite models included data updates, improved construction of model variables, and exclusion of non-robust variables. This paper also updates operational guidance on the complementary EBA-lite tools, such as the external sustainability approach and the modules for commodity exporters.
2024 Staff Guidance Note On The IMF’s Engagement With Small Developing States

Author: International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
language: en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date: 2024-07-25
This guidance note provides operational guidance on the Fund’s engagement with small developing states (SDS). It highlights the unique economic characteristics and constraints facing SDS, notably in a more shock-prone world. Building on advice that applies to the full membership, the note explains how the characteristics of SDS shape Fund surveillance, financial support and program design, capacity development (CD), and collaboration with other institutions and donors. The note updates the previous version that was published in December 2017.