Applications Of Mathematics Of Uncertainty
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Uncertainty Theory
Author: Baoding Liu
language: en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date: 2004
"This book provides a self-contained, comprehensive and up-to-date presentation of uncertainty theory. The main purpose is to equip the readers with an axiomatic approach to deal with uncertainty. Mathematicians, researchers, engineers, designers and students in the field of applied mathematics, operations research, statistics, industrial engineering, information science and management science will find this work a useful reference."--BOOK JACKET. Title Summary field provided by Blackwell North America, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Measurement Uncertainty
Author: Simona Salicone
language: en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date: 2007-06-04
It is widely recognized, by the scienti?c and technical community that m- surements are the bridge between the empiric world and that of the abstract concepts and knowledge. In fact, measurements provide us the quantitative knowledge about things and phenomena. It is also widely recognized that the measurement result is capable of p- viding only incomplete information about the actual value of the measurand, that is, the quantity being measured. Therefore, a measurement result - comes useful, in any practicalsituation, only if a way is de?ned for estimating how incomplete is this information. The more recentdevelopment of measurement science has identi?ed in the uncertainty concept the most suitable way to quantify how incomplete is the information provided by a measurement result. However, the problem of how torepresentameasurementresulttogetherwithitsuncertaintyandpropagate measurementuncertaintyisstillanopentopicinthe?eldofmetrology,despite many contributions that have been published in the literature over the years. Many problems are in fact still unsolved, starting from the identi?cation of the best mathematical approach for representing incomplete knowledge. Currently, measurement uncertainty is treated in a purely probabilistic way, because the Theory of Probability has been considered the only available mathematical theory capable of handling incomplete information. However, this approach has the main drawback of requiring full compensation of any systematic e?ect that a?ects the measurement process. However, especially in many practical application, the identi?cation and compensation of all s- tematic e?ects is not always possible or cost e?ective.
Do Dice Play God?
Uncertainty is everywhere. It lurks in every consideration of the future - the weather, the economy, the sex of an unborn child - even quantities we think that we know such as populations or the transit of the planets contain the possibility of error. It's no wonder that, throughout that history, we have attempted to produce rigidly defined areas of uncertainty - we prefer the surprise party to the surprise asteroid. We began our quest to make certain an uncertain world by reading omens in livers, tea leaves, and the stars. However, over the centuries, driven by curiosity, competition, and a desire be better gamblers, pioneering mathematicians and scientists began to reduce wild uncertainties to tame distributions of probability and statistical inferences. But, even as unknown unknowns became known unknowns, our pessimism made us believe that some problems were unsolvable and our intuition misled us. Worse, as we realized how omnipresent and varied uncertainty is, we encountered chaos, quantum mechanics, and the limitations of our predictive power. Bestselling author Professor Ian Stewart explores the history and mathematics of uncertainty. Touching on gambling, probability, statistics, financial and weather forecasts, censuses, medical studies, chaos, quantum physics, and climate, he makes one thing clear: a reasonable probability is the only certainty.